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India–US Trade Deal Marks Major Reset as Tariffs Cut to 18%, Strategic and Energy Ties Deepen

India and the United States have finalised a significant trade agreement that signals a major reset in bilateral economic relations. Following direct engagement between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump, Washington announced a steep reduction in tariffs on Indian exports, cutting duties from levels as high as 50 per cent to a uniform 18 per cent. The move ends a period of escalating trade tensions and is being seen as a breakthrough that could reinvigorate trade flows between the two countries.


The agreement comes at a time of global economic uncertainty and shifting geopolitical alignments. By easing trade barriers, both governments aim to stabilise commercial ties, support exporters, and reinforce their broader strategic partnership.


Commerce Minister Piyush GoyalImage Source : X/@PiyushGoyal | India TV News
Commerce Minister Piyush GoyalImage Source : X/@PiyushGoyal | India TV News

Relief for Indian Exporters and Manufacturing Sectors

The tariff rollback is expected to provide immediate relief to a wide range of Indian export-oriented industries. Sectors such as textiles, engineering goods, auto components, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, gems and jewellery, leather, footwear, and marine products stand to benefit from improved competitiveness in the US market. Industry associations have said the reduced duties will help Indian firms regain market share that had been lost due to earlier punitive tariffs.


For small and medium-sized enterprises, which form the backbone of India’s manufacturing and export ecosystem, the move could be particularly significant. Improved access to the US market is likely to support job creation, stabilise export revenues, and strengthen India’s position in global supply chains.


Energy Commitments and the Russian Oil Question

One of the most politically sensitive aspects of the agreement relates to India’s energy sourcing, especially its purchases of discounted Russian crude oil. US officials have linked the removal of an additional punitive tariff to India reducing or reconsidering its reliance on Russian energy supplies. President Trump has publicly claimed that India has agreed to stop buying Russian oil and shift toward greater imports from the United States and other suppliers.


Indian authorities, however, have not formally confirmed any blanket commitment to end Russian oil imports. Government sources and international analysts note that India has already begun diversifying its energy basket, partly due to reduced discounts on Russian crude and operational changes at refineries. While purchases from the US and Gulf countries are expected to rise, experts believe India will continue to prioritise energy security and cost considerations in its decisions.


Agriculture, Dairy and Market Access Safeguards

Agriculture and dairy have remained among India’s most sensitive sectors in trade negotiations. Despite US pressure for wider market access, New Delhi has maintained strong safeguards to protect small farmers and rural livelihoods. Reports indicate that India has resisted opening its market to genetically modified crops such as US corn and soybeans, while continuing to shield the dairy sector, which supports millions of small producers.


At the same time, limited concessions may be offered on select non-staple products such as almonds, walnuts, apples, and berries. Officials say this calibrated approach reflects India’s effort to balance trade liberalisation with domestic political realities and food security concerns.


Strategic and Economic Implications

Beyond tariffs, the agreement is expected to accelerate broader strategic and commercial cooperation. India is likely to expand purchases of US petroleum, defence equipment, aircraft, and advanced technology products. These moves align with Washington’s efforts to deepen economic engagement with India while reshaping global supply chains away from geopolitical rivals.


Financial markets have responded positively to the announcement, with Indian equities and the rupee gaining on expectations of stronger export performance and reduced trade uncertainty. Economists suggest the deal could provide modest support to GDP growth and help stabilise India’s external sector at a time when global demand remains uneven.


Political Reactions and Domestic Debate

The deal has sparked intense political debate within India. Opposition parties including Congress, TMC, AAP, and DMK have questioned the transparency of the negotiations and called for the full terms to be placed before Parliament. Farmer organisations and trade unions have also voiced concerns about the long-term implications for agriculture and domestic manufacturing.


The government has defended the agreement, arguing that it protects core domestic interests while delivering tangible benefits for exporters and strengthening India’s standing in global trade. Officials have stressed that sector-specific negotiations are ongoing and that national priorities will guide implementation.


The MGMM Outlook

The India–US trade agreement marks a significant recalibration of bilateral economic ties, with the sharp reduction in tariffs to 18 per cent opening the door for stronger export growth and improved market access for Indian industries. The move is expected to restore competitiveness for key sectors such as textiles, engineering goods, pharmaceuticals, auto components, gems and jewellery, and marine products, while also providing much-needed support to MSMEs that form the backbone of India’s export ecosystem. At a time of global uncertainty, the deal sends a strong signal of renewed economic cooperation and positions India more favourably within evolving global supply chains.


At the same time, the agreement reflects careful balancing on sensitive areas such as energy sourcing and agriculture. While the US has linked tariff relief to reduced reliance on Russian oil, India’s approach continues to prioritise energy security and cost efficiency, alongside gradual diversification toward US and other suppliers. In agriculture and dairy, safeguards remain firmly in place to protect small farmers and rural livelihoods, even as limited concessions on select products may be explored. Overall, the deal strengthens strategic and commercial engagement, supports market confidence, and reinforces India’s role as a key economic and geopolitical partner for the United States.



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